Optimal transport is widely used to learn distributions, enforce distributional constraints, and model uncertainty. In applications, transport losses are often computed from samples through tractable representations, such as one-dimensional sorting formulas or sliced Wasserstein costs, making them practical components in training pipelines. We study parameterized objectives defined by sampled transport costs and prove graphical convergence of their subdifferentials to the subdifferential of the population objective. In particular, this ensures that standard subgradient methods consistently approach stationary points of the population-level problem. We illustrate the results in several settings, including risk-averse optimization, fairness-constrained learning, and sliced Wasserstein problems. Our analysis highlights that smooth parameterizations provide a favorable interface between statistical consistency and optimization. By contrast, transport objectives with nonsmooth costs and models may exhibit unstable derivatives in the large-sample limit.

Instrumental variable (IV) analyses generally start by posing a structural equation: Y = hstructural(X)+ϵ, (1) where hstructural represents the causal effect of X on Y, and X and ϵ may be endogenous (E[ϵ | X] = 0). Then given an exogenous instrument Z satisfying the exclusion restriction, the common statistical solution given joint observations of W = (X,Y,Z) P is to conduct inference on some continuous linear functional h 7 EP[m(W;h)] of a solution h H to the linear equation implied by exclusion: TPh = rP, (2) where TP: H G maps h 7 argming GEP(h(X) g(Z))2, rP = argminr GEP(Y r(Z))2, and H, G are closed linear subspaces of square-integrable functions of X and of Z, respectively. For example, if these are all square-integrable functions, then (TPh)(Z) = EP[h(X) | Z] is the conditional expectation.

Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) integrates mechanistic knowledge, typically in the form of partial differential equations (PDE), into data-driven models. Despite strong empirical performance, its statistical generalisation properties remain poorly understood, particularly in the regression setting with unbounded losses. Existing analyses rely on approximation or stability arguments and do not fully capture how physical structure influences generalisation from finite data. In this work, we develop a PAC-Bayesian framework for PIML that provides high-probability generalisation guarantees in the presence of unbounded losses. We adopt a multi-task perspective that jointly treats data fidelity, PDE residuals, initial and boundary conditions, avoiding the looseness induced by standard union-bound approaches. Our analysis leverages the structure of physics-informed objectives to derive novel bounds where the complexity scales with input-gradient norms of the losses, revealing a direct link between physical regularity and generalisation. We instantiate this framework under Sobolev and Poincaré-type assumptions, yielding two classes of bounds that trade off statistical complexity and smoothness in different regimes. Building on these results, we propose a self-bounding-aware learning algorithm that directly optimises tractable surrogates of the derived bounds, along with a practical procedure to estimate the associated constants in realistic settings. Empirical evaluations on standard PDE benchmarks demonstrate that our bounds are non-vacuous, significantly tighter than union-bound baselines, and can be effectively minimised during training. Overall, our results provide a principled statistical foundation for the generalisation of physics-informed models.

The boosted Frank-Wolfe algorithm accelerates the classical Frank-Wolfe algorithm by better aligning the update direction with the negative gradient. Its analysis, however, has been limited to deterministic convex problems, with step sizes that require either line search or knowledge of the Lipschitz constant of the gradient. We develop a novel step size strategy that does not depend on the Lipschitz constant of the gradient, which allows us to extend the boosted Frank-Wolfe algorithm to the stochastic setting. We prove that boosting with this step size strategy can be combined with many modern gradient estimators, including SAGA, L-SVRG, SAG, Heavy Ball momentum, and zeroth-order estimators, among others, while retaining the worst-case convergence rates of ordinary stochastic Frank-Wolfe. Our analysis also yields the first convergence rates for boosted Frank-Wolfe on nonconvex and quasar-convex objectives, results which are new even for deterministic problems. Experiments on sparse logistic regression and quantum process tomography show that stochastic boosted Frank-Wolfe achieves faster convergence per gradient oracle call (and on wall-clock) compared to the non-boosted baseline.

Identifying latent variables and the causal structure involving them is essential across various scientific fields. While many existing works fall under the category of constraint-based methods (with e.g. conditional independence or rank deficiency tests), they may face empirical challenges such as testing-order dependency, error propagation, and choosing an appropriate significance level. These issues can potentially be mitigated by properly designed score-based methods, such as Greedy Equivalence Search (GES) (Chickering, 2002) in the specific setting without latent variables. Yet, formulating score-based methods with latent variables is highly challenging. In this work, we develop score-based methods that are capable of identifying causal structures containing causally-related latent variables with identifiability guarantees. Specifically, we show that a properly formulated scoring function can achieve score equivalence and consistency for structure learning of latent variable causal models. We further provide a characterization of the degrees of freedom for the marginal over the observed variables under multiple structural assumptions considered in the literature, and accordingly develop both exact and continuous score-based methods. This offers a unified view of several existing constraint-based methods with different structural assumptions. Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.

Unobserved confounding is a fundamental challenge for estimating causal effects. To address unobserved confounding, recent literature has turned to two different approaches -- proxy variables and the use of multiple treatments. The first approach, commonly referred to as proximal causal inference, requires proxies to be assigned to specific asymmetric roles: treatment-inducing proxies (negative control exposures), variables that act as common causes of the treatment and outcome, and outcome-inducing proxies (negative control outcomes). In practice, however, identifying variables that satisfy these asymmetric roles can be difficult depending on the application domain. The second approach, commonly referred to as the ``Deconfounder," deals with multiple conditionally independent treatments. There has been limited progress towards developing a consistent estimation method for this setting. As the primary contribution of this work, we establish that causal effects are identifiable in both settings when the unobserved confounder is categorical under suitable conditions. Our approach builds on a mixture learning perspective: we show that the underlying confounding structure can be recovered by identifying the corresponding mixture distribution. We propose an estimation procedure based on tensor decomposition, which allows consistent recovery of the latent structure and comes with non-asymptotic guarantees. Simulation studies and real data experiments demonstrate that the proposed method performs well even with limited data.

Understanding the behavior of stochastic gradient methods is a central problem in modern machine learning. Recent work has highlighted diagonal linear networks as a simplified yet expressive setting for analyzing the optimization and generalization properties of neural models. In this work, we show that in the high-dimensional regime, stochastic gradient descent on diagonal linear networks is well-approximated by continuous dynamics governed by a stochastic differential equation (SDE), which explicitly decouples the drift from the gradient noise. We further derive a deterministic partial differential equation whose solution propagates the relevant state of the iterates and characterizes the time evolution of a broad class of observable statistics, including the risk, curvature, and other metrics for optimality. Finally, we show that, under a suitable parametrization, the stochastic dynamics are globally well posed and converge exponentially fast to zero risk with high probability, yielding a fully explicit non-asymptotic description of their long-time behavior. Numerical simulations corroborate our theoretical findings.

Adaptive experimentation enables efficient estimation of causal effects, but existing methods are not designed for survival data with censoring, where event times are only partially observed (e.g., overall survival in cancer trials but with dropout). In this paper, we develop a novel framework for adaptive experimentation to estimate causal effects under right censoring. For this, we derive the semiparametric efficiency bound for the average survival effect curve as a function of the treatment allocation policy and thereby obtain a closed-form efficiency-optimal allocation policy. The policy generalizes classical Neyman allocation to survival settings by prioritizing patient strata where both event and censoring dynamics induce high uncertainty. Building on this, we propose the Adaptive Survival Estimator (ASE), an adaptive framework that learns the allocation policy and estimates the average survival effect curve sequentially. Our framework has three main benefits: (i) it accommodates arbitrary machine learning models for nuisance estimation; (ii) it is guided by a closed-form efficiency-optimal allocation policy; and (iii) it admits strong theoretical guarantees, including asymptotic normality via a martingale central limit theorem. We demonstrate our framework across various numerical experiments to show consistent efficiency gains over uniform randomization and censoring-agnostic baselines.

We establish the first population risk bounds for Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) trained by mini-batch SGD with gradient clipping, covering non-private SGD as well as differentially private SGD (DP-SGD) with Gaussian perturbations that interpolate between independent and temporally correlated noise. This setting is substantially closer to practice than prior KAN theory along two axes: training is by mini-batch SGD, the standard recipe for modern networks, rather than full-batch gradient descent (GD); and correlated-noise mechanisms have empirically shown a more favorable privacy-utility tradeoff than independent-noise mechanisms. Our results cover the corresponding full-batch GD and independent-noise DP-GD results for KANs by Wang et al. (2026), while yielding sharper fixed-second-layer specializations. The technical core is a new analysis route for correlated-noise DP training in the non-convex regime. Temporal dependence breaks the conditional-centering structure underlying standard one-step SGD arguments, and the projection step obstructs the exact cancellation structure of correlated perturbations. We address these difficulties through an auxiliary unprojected dynamics, a shifted iterate that absorbs the current noise perturbation, and a high-probability bootstrap certifying projection inactivity. Combining this optimization analysis with a stability-based generalization argument yields the stated population risk bounds. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first optimization and population risk analysis of a correlated-noise mechanism for DP training beyond convex learning, in particular for neural networks.

Causal discovery, the problem of inferring the direction of causality, is generally ill-posed. We use the language of structural causal models (SCM) to show that assuming that the causal relations are acyclic and invariant across multiple environments (e.g., the way minimum wage affects employment rate is stable across different geographical regions), \textit{only} two auxiliary environments are sufficient to infer the causal graph for arbitrary nonlinear mechanisms. Moreover, we demonstrate that this implies identifiability of the SCM functional mechanisms: as a corollary, we show that \textit{two} auxiliary environments are sufficient to guarantee correct counterfactual inference. We empirically support our theoretical results on synthetic data.